The Stats Report with Simon Dinopoulos

by Racing & Sports ,
6 years ago

3 minute read

Alward Picture: Racing and Sports

ZEROING IN

We go about finding a weekend special from a statistical angle.

Talented galloper from the Chris Waller stable who appears well placed to break back into the winner's stall at Rosehill on Saturday.

Given four weeks between runs since failing to fire in the Chairman's Quality [2600m], Alward looks much better suited back to 2000m.

In six attempts he has won five with his only defeat coming when finishing second behind Emperor's Way, after being forced to sit wide throughout.

He generally saves his best form for his home track and loved his most recent trial at Canterbury behind Nonpareil.

On best form he is more than capable and should prove very hard to beat.

Key Trends

Tye Angland links aboard for the first time and is airborne at present, striking at 28% from his last 50 runners.

This season Tye Angland is striking at 25% > POT +14.3% with gallopers over this distance range (44 runners) and 19% at Rosehill > 64.3% POT.

This season the Waller Stable is striking at 18% with gallopers dropping back 400m+ in trip.

Race 3 - No 3 - Primitivo

Race 6 - No 4 - Alward

Race 7 - No 4 - Special Missile