3 minute read
An improved performance last start leaves the Lindsey Smith trained You Will Be Queen well placed to break back into the winner's stall at Belmont on Saturday.
Though unable to bridge the gap behind Our Pu Bear last start, her performance held plenty of merit and should be close to her peak racing third up.
At her best when leading, the daughter of Kaphero is expected to take up the running from the wide draw.A significant change given she has been unable to lead at her past two starts.
A victor of four of her 12 career starts, in-form apprentice Lucy Warwick sticks and is striking at 41 per cent with favourites.A remarkable strike rate given the average is closer to 33 per cent.
With the aid of Warwick's claim she does appear very well placed using Timeform weight adjusted ratings.Currently installed a 5-2 chance appears more than fair as we have rated close to 2-1 and feel she presents great value.
There doesn't appear to be a lot of speed engaged and expect You Will Be Queen to be very hard to catch.A bit of a sucker for punishment when it comes to the Fred Kersley trained Northpace, but prepared to give him one final chance on Saturday.
Simply got too far back over the mile last start and now finally steps up in trip.Keep coming back to his performance in the Listed WA St Leger, which if able to run up to that form, he simply would prove too good.
The main queries remain that he is 434 days between runs, however at 14-1 he is worthy of a throw at the stumps.Back on firmer footing should also help his chances and while we do respect the favourite Zarantz, we can't get him as short as his current quote.
BEST FROM THE WEST:BET OF THE DAY: Race 2 #2 You Will Be Queen @ $4.50
EACH-WAY PLAY: Race 3 #6 North Pace @ $15.00