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Read our AFL expert tips and analysis for every game in this season of the 2024 premiership season with Betfair’s AFL betting expert Joel Cashman. Includes game summaries, AFL expert tips and best Back and Lay bets for every round.
AFL GRAND FINAL: SYDNEY SWANS VS BRISBANE LIONS
Betting Strategy
BACK: (Total Points) Over 170.5 for 0.5 units (Rated at $1.86)
The last four finals the Lions have played in have been high scoring matches, with their three finals this season as well as last year's Grand Final all going over the total. Sydney and Brisbane's last four encounters have averaged 188.75 combined match points.
BACK: (Handicap) Brisbane (+5.5) for 0.5 units (Rated at $1.81)
Brisbane's poor record at the MCG has been well documented, but they have been able to perform above expectation. In their last four matches at the MCG when they have started as the underdog, the Lions have won twice and covered the line in all four- including the 2023 Grand Final.
BACK: (Norm Smith Medal) Chad Warner for 0.25 units (Rated at $8.80)
Chad Warner is at great value considering how impressive his last Grand Final performance was. Despite the Swans losing by 81 points in 2022, Warner had 29 disposals, 10 clearances and 2 goals. The eye-catching midfielder is coming in strong after being in the Swans best for both finals.
BACK: (Norm Smith Medal) Joe Daniher for 0.25 units (Rated at $32.00)
A roughie for the Norm Smith is Lion's key forward- Joe Daniher, who was one of the Lions best performers in the 2023 decider and was the difference in this year's semi final. The injury to Oscar McInerney will see Daniher spend more time up the field and will get more opportunities to win the footy.
BACK: (To Kick a Goal) Hayden McLean for 0.5 units (Rated at $1.72)
The Sydney key forward has kicked a goal in 14 of his last 19 matches and is paying good odds considering his position on the ground and the possibility Logan McDonald could miss due to injury.
AFL TIPS AND BETTING STRATEGIES
Welcome to Betfair's AFL Tipping page for 2024! You will find AFL previews, betting tips and strategies for the 2024 premiership season from our team of footy experts. With 18 teams in the AFL, 24 rounds this season made up of 207 matches, the team at Betfair is here to help you navigate the season from a betting point of view. We'll be providing our expert picks for every game and once the regular season is over and we are left with 8 finals teams, the tips don't stop there as we've got you covered for the finals series as well.
Each week, we'll be putting out betting advice for every game of the round including best bets for the week, value picks, lay tips and player prop selections. These will range from margin picks, first goal scorers, who to bet at the line and of course who the Betfair team think will win each game. When making their weekly AFL tips, our experts will look at recent form, statistics from throughout the season, historical trends and rely on their developed betting knowledge giving you informed selections backed up by data.
The latest AFL tips will be posted on this page each week as teams get released for the round as the in and outs of each team can dramatically impact who wins a game of football. This is why it's also important to keep an eye out for late changes teams may swing, and adjust your betting strategies accordingly. For example, if a key defender is out, the opposing team's key forward might be due for a big game.
A great feature of Betfair is that you'll be able to put our tips on the Betfair Hub to use on the Betfair Exchange as not only does Betfair provide expert betting content, we are also a betting exchange where punters can bet against each other. You've got a wide range of AFL markets on the exchange which our tips cover including futures markets like the premiership market, top 4, top 8, wooden spoon and much more.
Our tipping content is tailored to the unique features you'll only find on the Betfair Exchange making it the perfect place to action the tips you'll find on this page. Simply click on the blue and pink widgets next to the tips depending on whether you want to back or lay the tip, and you'll be taken straight to the correlating market on the exchange where you can place your bets.
Not only have we got weekly footy tipping content, but Betfair also has a wide range of AFL related betting articles that'll keep you informed throughout the 2024 football calendar which you can find here. So what are you waiting for? Kick your AFL season into gear with premium AFL betting tips thanks to the Betfair Hub. Play your way with Betfair.