3 minute read
The Super Bowl is one of the biggest sporting events of the year and fans are always looking for ways to make their viewing experience even more exciting.
One way to do that is by placing bets on various props. Here are five tips you might want to consider when betting on the Super Bowl between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs.
More points after halftime than before it
The past ten years of Super Bowl games have shown that the average depth of target in the first half is 7.88 yards, but jumps to 9.74 yards in the second half. Additionally, red zone scoring also increases from 51.4% in the first half to 61.8% in the second half. This is likely due to the increased aggression from offenses and decreased ability from defenses as the game goes on. This trend is true for both the Eagles and the Chiefs, as both defenses were ranked higher in the first half for red zone drives allowed but ranked lower in the second half.
Jalen Hurts OVER 10.5 rush attempts
Philadelphia's quarterback, Jalen Hurts, has been a weapon in the run game, with 85% of his runs in the postseason being designed, compared to 60% in the regular season. The Chiefs have given up the third-most rushing attempts to quarterbacks this season and Hurts had 10 designed runs in their last game. This trend is expected to continue in the Super Bowl.
Isiah Pacheco OVER 11.5 rushing attempts
Rookie running back Isiah Pacheco has been a standout player this season and his hard-driving running style sets up well against the Eagles' 28th ranked defense in yards after catch allowed to running backs. He has been trusted by the Chiefs' head coach, Andy Reid, and has cleared 11.5 rushing attempts in 8 of his past 11 games. This trend is expected to continue, especially with limitations to quarterback Patrick Mahomes' ankle.
DeVonta Smith OVER 5.5 receptions
Wide receiver DeVonta Smith had a standout sophomore season, finishing as fantasy football's WR9 with 95 catches for almost 1,200 yards. He also had a high success rate for hitting over on reception-related player props and was one of just three players to draw eight or more targets in 10 straight games. The Chiefs allowed an opposing player to catch six or more passes 24 times this season and with an over/under of 50 points, there will be plenty of opportunities for Smith to continue this trend.
Haason Reddick OVER 3.5 tackles
Linebacker Haason Reddick has been a standout player for the Eagles after his addition from Carolina, recording at least one sack in 7 of his past 8 games. He has averaged 3 tackles per game during the regular season and with the increased aggression in the Super Bowl, this trend is expected to continue. In his past three games, Reddick has taken just 1.8% of snaps in coverage, which increases his chances of making tackles closer to the line of scrimmage.