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Happy-Valley Races | Worksheets

Wednesday, 27th November 2024

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1
18:40
(local)

BRIDGE OF WEIR HANDICAP

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:47.94 Money Catcher 11 Jan 2023 OPEN SOT:G
HKD $875,000
1800m TURF
1
18:40
(local)
HKD $875,000
1800m

BRIDGE OF WEIR HANDICAP

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:47.94 Money Catcher 11 Jan 2023 OPEN SOT:G

#1 Me Time is tough to oppose in this contest. Making his Class 5 debut, he started favourite two runs ago in Class 4 after a solid second-place finish to Joy Of Spring, which is strong form here. With Zac Purton in the saddle and a favourable low draw, he’s the one to beat. #11 Sunny Baby has lost form recently but returns to his preferred track and distance. With barrier 1 in his favour, he’s capable of bouncing back. #8 Turtle Again hasn’t won in a year, though his last-start third suggests he’s ready to capitalise when conditions suit. #2 Go Go Go may take up the running under the 10lb apprentice claim in a race lacking natural pace, and he could potentially steal the race with a soft lead.


2
19:10
(local)

CRAMOND ISLAND HANDICAP

WT: 53.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 0:55.93 Stoltz 06 Jul 2023 RST100-80 SOT:G
HKD $875,000
1000m TURF
2
19:10
(local)
HKD $875,000
1000m

CRAMOND ISLAND HANDICAP

WT: 53.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 0:55.93 Stoltz 06 Jul 2023 RST100-80 SOT:G

#2 Speedy Fortune has been racing well since joining David Eustace and receives blinkers third-up, following an encouraging trial in the headgear. From his low draw, he looks well-placed to secure a win for the freshman trainer. #1 Modest Gentleman drops back into Class 5 for his third run this preparation and reunites with Jerry Chau, who guided him to his last victory. #7 Circuit Ten has tumbled down the ratings. He’s been edging closer to a win, and if he can utilise barrier 1 early, his chances of breaking through in Hong Kong are much improved. #4 Happy Horse also benefits from a drop back into Class 5, where his two career wins have occurred.


3
19:40
(local)

RAEBURN PLACE HANDICAP

WT: 52kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF
HKD $1,170,000
1650m TURF
3
19:40
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1650m

RAEBURN PLACE HANDICAP

WT: 52kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF

#1 Handsome Bomb has been on the pace in two fast-run races this preparation and was entitled to tire late. Trying Happy Valley for the first time, his solid Sha Tin form makes him a leading chance in this moderate Class 4 event. #10 Dragon Delight remains winless in this grade after 11 attempts, though he has managed four third-place finishes, including his latest run. From a favourable low draw, he should get his chance. #8 To Infinity, drawn in barrier 1, might settle closer in the run, which will be helpful in a contest lacking depth. #4 Happy Again made a respectable debut and is expected to show natural improvement with further experience.


4
20:10
(local)

BEN NEVIS HANDICAP

WT: 53kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 2:14.42 Bright Kid 30 Nov 2022 RST60-35 SOT:GF
HKD $1,170,000
2200m TURF
4
20:10
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
2200m

BEN NEVIS HANDICAP

WT: 53kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 2:14.42 Bright Kid 30 Nov 2022 RST60-35 SOT:GF

#6 Affordable catches the eye. While winless from 11 starts in Hong Kong, he finished strongly into fourth over 2000m last time and now benefits from James McDonald in the saddle. The step up in trip suits, given his Australian form includes wins up to 2100m and placings over 2550m. #1 Charity Gain is a progressive four-year-old building a solid record. After a comfortable win two starts ago, he backed it up with a strong third. #9 Management Folks is primed to bounce back with Zac Purton aboard for the first time since July last year. His first-up effort at Sha Tin was solid, though he’s proven much better at Happy Valley, particularly over this trip. #4 Perfect Pairing never got a clear run last start but had more to offer. He’s capable of producing a better showing at an each-way price.


5
20:40
(local)

THE ST ANDREW'S CHALLENGE QUAICH (HANDICAP)

WT: 53kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF
HKD $1,170,000
1200m TURF
5
20:40
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1200m

THE ST ANDREW'S CHALLENGE QUAICH (HANDICAP)

WT: 53kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF

#5 Fatal Blow ticks plenty of boxes after a promising debut third and subsequent strong trial where he wasn’t pressured. Expect significant improvement second-up for the Mark Newnham stable. #2 The Perfect Match gets a favourable draw in barrier 2 with James McDonald aboard, and the removal of blinkers reads well. #4 Glory Cloud is poised for a breakthrough win, having narrowly missed last time out. However, barrier 9 presents a potential map challenge this time. #11 Gimme Five was sent back to the trials following a lacklustre last outing but had shown good form prior, finishing second to Swift Ascend, who has since franked the form with another win at Sha Tin on Sunday.


6
21:10
(local)

EDINBURGH HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF
HKD $1,170,000
1200m TURF
6
21:10
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1200m

EDINBURGH HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF

#8 Roaring Bebe could only manage sixth as the favourite last start, but the saddle slipping during the race left his rider at a disadvantage. Based on prior strong form and with barrier 1 in his favour, he deserves another chance. #3 Golden Rise endured a tough trip last time, caught wide without cover from the 600m, yet finished just two lengths off the winner. #1 Gallant Valour scored impressively two starts ago but had no favours last time after a slow start, closing strongly for fourth. A cleaner getaway should see him bounce back. #5 New Power adds blinkers for the first time and maps to settle in a handy on-pace position, where he will be given every opportunity.


7
21:45
(local)

EDINBURGH HANDICAP

WT: 53kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF
HKD $1,170,000
1200m TURF
7
21:45
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1200m

EDINBURGH HANDICAP

WT: 53kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF

#4 Lightning Bolt looks primed to strike again. Fourth-up, he has dropped enough in the ratings to make his mark at this level. James McDonald takes over after a solid fourth on the all-weather, and a trial win between runs adds to the appeal. #3 Colonel continues to defy his age with excellent form for the Mark Newnham stable. If left to dictate from the front, he will prove difficult to peg back. #2 Lyrical Motion faces a tough task from barrier 12, but his form holds up for this race, especially with Hugh Bowman returning to the saddle. #9 Telecom Power has been charging home late in his recent runs, but he will need to position closer to the pace to be a serious contender.


8
22:15
(local)

LOCH LOMOND HANDICAP

WT: 54kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 0:55.93 Stoltz 06 Jul 2023 RST100-80 SOT:G
HKD $1,860,000
1000m TURF
8
22:15
(local)
HKD $1,860,000
1000m

LOCH LOMOND HANDICAP

WT: 54kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 0:55.93 Stoltz 06 Jul 2023 RST100-80 SOT:G

#6 Allgreektome maps to get a dream run from barrier 1. He has been working towards another win and finds plenty in his favour this week. #4 Horsepower impressed on debut, scoring smartly over this course and distance for Frankie Lor with Zac Purton aboard. While drawn wide in gate 11, the stats suggest it’s less of a disadvantage over 1000m with the rail in the C+3 position. #10 Happy United endured a tough trip resuming from gate 11 last time and can improve significantly on that 11th-place finish with a better run anticipated. #7 Eternal Fortune, now at his fourth local start, looks poised to break through after consecutive placings. James McDonald has a tricky task from barrier 12, however.


9
22:50
(local)

INVERNESS HANDICAP

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:47.94 Money Catcher 11 Jan 2023 OPEN SOT:G
HKD $2,050,000
1800m TURF
9
22:50
(local)
HKD $2,050,000
1800m

INVERNESS HANDICAP

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:47.94 Money Catcher 11 Jan 2023 OPEN SOT:G

#5 Illuminous, with James McDonald in the saddle and barrier 1 for the second time in succession, might settle closer in the run this time, which could help him turn his fortune around after several eye-catching efforts. #3 Samarkand had valid excuses last time after blundering in the straight and weakening. With little pace on paper, he looks well-suited to take control from barrier 3 and dictate terms upfront. #9 Sharpen Bright is building a strong record and was impressive winning on his first try in Class 3 over this course and distance. He looks capable of repeating the performance. #4 Chain Of Gold has been knocking on the door for a second local win, placing in all three starts this season. However, Zac Purton will need to work some magic from gate 12.


Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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