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Happy-Valley Races | Neurals

Wednesday, 04th December 2024

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1
18:30
(local)

AUSTRALIA HANDICAP

WT: 52kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF
HKD $875,000
1650m TURF
1
18:30
(local)
HKD $875,000
1650m

AUSTRALIA HANDICAP

WT: 52kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF

#2 Kasa Papa signalled a win two starts back with a narrow defeat, though he disappointed with a ninth-place finish next time after being checked and losing momentum at the top of the straight. He has since trialled well, draws perfectly in barrier 4, and teams up with the in-form Hugh Bowman. #1 Ivictoriam ran on strongly to grab third in his first outing in Class 5 despite a wide draw. Slightly better positioned in gate 9, and with James McDonald aboard, he should be in the mix. #9 Cool Blue has had challenging barrier draws but now gets a mid-field alley which may allow him to settle closer. His form has steadily improved since joining Cody Mo’s yard. #3 The Azure drops to Class 5 for the first time, and Zac Purton is booked for Frankie Lor. He led last time when finishing fifth, and while barrier 11 poses a challenge, his form will hold him in good stead.


2
19:00
(local)

FRANCE HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:08.82 Howdeepisyourlove 26 Apr 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G
HKD $875,000
1200m TURF
2
19:00
(local)
HKD $875,000
1200m

FRANCE HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:08.82 Howdeepisyourlove 26 Apr 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G

#4 Good View Glory enters this race third-up for the season and appears ready to peak after two solid efforts, including an unlucky run last time when badly checked at the 150m, losing all momentum. He has since impressed in a trial and looks in fine form. #5 Super Eagle has drawn the paint and maps to receive every opportunity to break through at this level after missing by a head last time. #2 Fairy Horse reunites with Hugh Bowman and returns to Happy Valley, where he was a narrow runner-up two starts back. His latest run over a longer trip on the all-weather was forgivable. #3 Winning Heart has placed in his last two runs and now gains the services of Zac Purton, which should keep him firmly in contention.


3
19:30
(local)

GREAT BRITAIN HANDICAP

WT: 53kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF
HKD $1,170,000
1650m TURF
3
19:30
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1650m

GREAT BRITAIN HANDICAP

WT: 53kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF

#2 Lucky Touch delivered an impressive performance on his first attempt at this course and distance, winning comfortably by over a length. He appears capable of repeating that success, provided Zac Purton can secure a smooth run from barrier 10. #3 Mighty Strength benefits from a low draw for the first time in two starts since sailing to victory three starts ago. While he needs to bounce back from his last-start disappointment, the conditions are in his favour. #5 Hailtothevictors makes his second career start for the David Eustace stable. His debut was promising despite excuses, including being crowded mid-race and pulling up lame. A subsequent trial win suggests improvement is forthcoming. #4 Corleone, now on his third career start, can rebound after a luckless second-up run where he encountered interference in the straight.


4
20:10
(local)

LONGINES INTERNATIONAL JOCKEYS' CHAMPIONSHIP (HANDICAP) - 1ST LEG

WT: 55kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 0:55.93 Stoltz 06 Jul 2023 RST100-80 SOT:G
HKD $1,404,000
1000m TURF
4
20:10
(local)
HKD $1,404,000
1000m

LONGINES INTERNATIONAL JOCKEYS' CHAMPIONSHIP (HANDICAP) - 1ST LEG

WT: 55kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 0:55.93 Stoltz 06 Jul 2023 RST100-80 SOT:G

#10 Parents’ Love broke through for a well-deserved win last start and returns to Class 4 this time. His subsequent impressive trial win indicates that this untapped four-year-old has found his rhythm, suggesting he can continue his progression. #4 Champion Method delivered a dominant victory last time following a significant betting plunge. A repeat of that performance would make him tough to beat once more. #11 Silver Spurs had no luck in the straight when finishing 10th last time but gets a chance to bounce back under James McDonald and a gear tweak. #9 Sight Happy gains the services of Zac Purton and benefits from a better draw after wide barriers hampered his chances in his last two starts. He is poised for improvement.


5
20:40
(local)

LONGINES INTERNATIONAL JOCKEYS' CHAMPIONSHIP (HANDICAP) - 2ND LEG

WT: 54kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF
HKD $1,404,000
1650m TURF
5
20:40
(local)
HKD $1,404,000
1650m

LONGINES INTERNATIONAL JOCKEYS' CHAMPIONSHIP (HANDICAP) - 2ND LEG

WT: 54kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF

#4 Jumbo Fortune is only a one-time winner but has been a model of consistency this season since joining David Eustace's stable. Drawn ideally in barrier 3 for Hugh Bowman and with an abundance of speed on paper, he should get his opportunity to finish over the top in what promises to be a typically competitive Class 4 Happy Valley contest. #6 Prince Alex is worth following after his maiden win, as he encounters similar conditions to last time, now with James McDonald taking the reins. #12 Super Baby is well-drawn in barrier 1 and should enjoy a sweet run for Rachel King, with his last effort excusable due to a tough draw in barrier 12. #3 Viva Chaleur has dropped down the ratings and looks ready to strike soon. His last-start third was promising, and a quiet trial since should have him primed to win under Ryan Moore.


6
21:10
(local)

IRELAND HANDICAP

WT: 53.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.82 Howdeepisyourlove 26 Apr 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G
HKD $1,170,000
1200m TURF
6
21:10
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1200m

IRELAND HANDICAP

WT: 53.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.82 Howdeepisyourlove 26 Apr 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G

#10 Smart Fighter broke through for his first win last time after several consistent efforts. With James McDonald aboard and barrier 1 in his favour, he should have every chance to back it up and appears to have more to offer. #4 Masterofmyuniverse caught the eye on debut with a fast-finishing second after being held up in running. Although barrier 11 poses a challenge, he looks a horse with plenty of potential for the John Size stable. #2 Street Conqueror impressed when winning first-up for the Mark Newnham yard, but barrier 10 adds a twist to his follow-up attempt. #12 Crystal Powerful performed admirably when racing wide without cover from barrier 12 first-up, finishing a close fourth, and is well-placed to improve.


7
21:40
(local)

LONGINES INTERNATIONAL JOCKEYS' CHAMPIONSHIP (HANDICAP) - 3RD LEG

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF
HKD $2,460,000
1650m TURF
7
21:40
(local)
HKD $2,460,000
1650m

LONGINES INTERNATIONAL JOCKEYS' CHAMPIONSHIP (HANDICAP) - 3RD LEG

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF

#6 Daring Pursuit is a promising type chasing a hat-trick of wins after an explosive first-up victory 35 days ago. Aiming to maintain his perfect record at Happy Valley (three from three), Ryan Moore is an excellent booking to guide him. #10 Super Unicorn lost on protest last start but is well-positioned to make amends from barrier 1 with Mickael Barzalona aboard. #8 Jumbo Legend is thriving this campaign and cannot be overlooked after a stunning win from barrier 12 last time. Now drawn in barrier 2, with Vincent Ho—his partner for all four career wins—retaining the ride, he is a leading chance. #12 Soleil Fighter was used up early last time and faded late but should enjoy a kinder trip here. Hollie Doyle from barrier 3 can secure an ideal position in a race lacking speed.


8
22:10
(local)

LONGINES INTERNATIONAL JOCKEYS' CHAMPIONSHIP (HANDICAP) - 4TH LEG

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:08.82 Howdeepisyourlove 26 Apr 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G
HKD $2,232,000
1200m TURF
8
22:10
(local)
HKD $2,232,000
1200m

LONGINES INTERNATIONAL JOCKEYS' CHAMPIONSHIP (HANDICAP) - 4TH LEG

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:08.82 Howdeepisyourlove 26 Apr 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G

#5 Chateauneuf caught the eye last time when closing off strongly from a wide draw. Moving into barrier 4, he should settle much closer to the pace, giving him every chance to return to winning form under James McDonald in what shapes as a particularly competitive Happy Valley contest. #2 Gustosisimo impressed with a smart win from a wide gate last start. Hugh Bowman, from barrier 3, will have plenty of options tactically. #4 Super Joy N Fun is well-placed to improve from a more favourable draw after enduring barrier 12 in his last two starts. With an in-form Vincent Ho aboard, his prospects are boosted. #10 Giant Leap makes the leap to Class 3 following a comfortable Class 4 victory. Barrier 1 and Zac Purton combine to give him every chance to measure up in this tougher assignment.


9
22:55
(local)

JAPAN HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST100-80 Fastest Time: 1:47.94 Money Catcher 11 Jan 2023 OPEN SOT:G
HKD $3,120,000
1800m TURF
9
22:55
(local)
HKD $3,120,000
1800m

JAPAN HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST100-80 Fastest Time: 1:47.94 Money Catcher 11 Jan 2023 OPEN SOT:G

#8 Stunning Peach looks set to resume his winning ways on his Derby trail. He put in a bold performance over an unsuitable 1600m first-up, running into fifth despite suffering a late check. The step up to 1800m second-up plays to his strengths, and he can solidify his standing as early Derby favourite. #3 Chill Chibi returned to winning form impressively last time when confidently ridden by Zac Purton. Now with James McDonald taking over from barrier 3, he’s poised to find a handy position early and can go on with it. #6 Karma needs to settle closer in the run to be a serious winning threat. Barrier 6 gives Vincent Ho the option to position him more prominently, which will improve his chances. #10 Red Hare King steps up to 1800m for the first time but is set to enjoy an ideal run from barrier 4 after a strong fourth from a wide draw last time.


INTERACTIVE FORM

Racing And Sports has two quality interactive form systems which you as the user can adjust to your own specific tastes and thoughts. We've detailed below how to use both the Neurals and Worksheet areas of a race guide.

Neurals

These are computer enhanced analyses of all the areas which go into making up a race field. They factor in algorithms for every contingency as explained below and added them up to generate the likely best horse in a race.

When you go into them via the Form Guide page you simply run your mouse over any column and you can sort the field by any individual type of Neural Rating which determines the final total (and therefore best rater).

Explanation of Inputs for Neural Analysis

CP Career performance assessment based on weight/class algorithms
CF Current form measured by class/weight algorithms
TIM Revolutionary time assessment (adjusted algorithm)
JA Jockey ability algorithm
TA Trainer ability algorithm
JT Jockey/trainer combination algorithm
WT Wet track performance algorithm
Crs Course suitability algorithm
D Distance suitability algorithm
$ Prizemoney earned algorithm
BP Barrier position (course & distance) algorithm
DLR Days since last run algorithm
  • The user sets the level of importance from the Preference Scale (1 to 5 or No) for each algorithm and the output weightings are listed within seconds.
  • The Neural factor analysis will quickly identify for you just who are the main chances in each race, the highest to the lowest based on the factor weightings

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