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The Melbourne Mail: Moonee Valley 26th October 2024

3 minute read

Best bets for Cox Plate day at The Valley.

Racecourse : Moonee Valley (Australia)
Racecourse : Moonee Valley (Australia) Picture: Michael Dodge/Getty Images

Looking to play over the sprint trips on Saturday where the ten-race card is of course headlined by the Cox Plate, for which you can find a full preview here.

For our other best bets, we'll kick off nice and early in the first where Katsu looks to have a class edge on his rivals over the 1000m in an open handicap field, scratched from a Group 2 last week due to the soft track.

He holds a peak R&S rating of 111 when first-up in December at Flemington in the Kensington Stakes, beating some sharp sprinters, and that sort of rating would see him win this more often than not.

He did fail at his only run off a short break in March but the expected rating given his short SP was 109 and the start prior the expected rating was 115 behind Queman.

Those sorts of numbers are well beyond anything in this field has shown with the the other two hard in the market- Holy Racket and Frilled, coming through a 955m race where the winning rating was 105. Frilled was luckless there but this is a fair bit harder and I'm happy to back in the class of Katsu here at a very fair price.

The other bet on the card comes up in the McEwen Stakes, where I find it hard to go past Oscar's Fortune.

It wasn't a great race he ran in at his Melbourne debut behind Bellatrix Star, but he sat close to a strong tempo and was clearly the best of the on pace runners, beaten half a length in second.

He ran to 114 on the R&S scale there which isn't all that far off his best Perth ratings. Second-up last time in he ran to a career peak of 116 when beating Amelia's Jewel in the Roma Cup and anything like that should just beat these.

I don't mind the wide draw where he can come across and assess the pace inside, and with a couple looking genuine queries at the trip, he'll run it out no problem and be very hard to catch.


The Melbourne Mail

Best bet: Race 7 #2 Oscar's Fortune at $3.50
Also backing: Race 1 #2 Katsu at $4.80


Racing and Sports

Moonee Valley

Saturday, 26th October 2024

7
15:40
(local)

Mittys McEwen Stakes (G2)

Type: OPEN
AUD $301,000
1200m TURF GOOD
7
15:40
(local)
AUD $301,000
1200m GOOD

Mittys McEwen Stakes (G2)

Type: OPEN


FP Silk Horse, Age & Sex
Sire & Dam
Jockey
Trainer
SP
WT
1st 8. BARAQIEL (AUS) 6yo G
SNITZEL (AUS) - ANGEL OF MERCY (AUS)
BEN ALLEN
L & T CORSTENS & W LARKIN
$3.5
58.5kg
N P Bennett, J Falcke, W Freeman, A Patten, S McKenna, A Stanley, Bennett Angel Of Mercy (Mgr: N Bennett), Against the Bias (Mgr: D Slattery), Trowel (Mgr: J Wicks), Brat Racing (Mgr: B Porters), Bakerland (Mgr: A Downard), Barwon Boys (Mgr: W Handley), D K M Alliance (Mgr: A Debeen) & Mad Mates

Sales Information

2nd 5. I AM UNSTOPPABLE (AUS) 4yo H
I AM INVINCIBLE (AUS) - SATIN SLIPPER (AUS)
MARK ZAHRA
CIARON MAHER
$5.5
58.5kg
Widden Stud IAU Syndicate, G1G Colts & Breeding P/L, S Ducat, Glenlogan Park, Double R Thoroughbreds, G Harvey, Two Bays Farm, Mrs A McDonnell, M Murdoch, Maculata Stud, Speriamo Bloodstock, P Frampton, Salter Pastoral Company, Rifa Mustang, Laurel Oak I Am Unstoppable, Bangaloe Stud & L To

Sales Information

3rd 3. MORNINGTON GLORY (AUS) 6yo G
SHALAA (IRE) - CROWNED GLORY (AUS)
ETHAN BROWN
GAVIN BEDGGOOD
$9
58.5kg
Mrs S Cummings, Mrs A L K Andrews, S Gilbert, Mrs S L Gilbert, S Crawford, M T Tripp, F D Brown, R A Ford, A F M Panozzo, B J Ratten & D J Foster

Sales Information

4th 1. THE INFERNO (AUS) 8yo G
HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR (IRE) - SPINA ROSA (AUS)
BLAKE SHINN
CLIFF BROWN
$12
58.5kg

Sales Information

5th 9. EXTRATWO (AUS) 5yo M
TORONADO (IRE) - RED PIXIE (AUS)
JAMES MCDONALD
CIARON MAHER
$6.5
56.5kg

Sales Information

6th 4. STEPARTY (AUS) 4yo G
ARTIE SCHILLER (USA) - WATCH YOUR STEP (AUS)
JOHN ALLEN
PAUL PREUSKER
$31
58.5kg
7th 6. TALBRAGAR (AUS) 7yo G
SNITZEL (AUS) - OVERREACH (AUS)
JAMIE MOTT
JULIUS SANDHU
$41
58.5kg
8th 2. OSCAR'S FORTUNE (AUS) 4yo G
RICH ENUFF (AUS) - OSCAR AWARD (AUS)
DAMIAN LANE
D M LUCIANI
$3.3
58.5kg

Sales Information

9th 7. CELUI (AUS) 4yo H
TORONADO (IRE) - MOMMA'S SNITZEL (AUS)
DANIEL MOOR
BRENT STANLEY
$41
58.5kg

Sales Information

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