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Read our AFL expert tips and analysis for every game in this season of the 2024 premiership season with Betfair’s AFL betting expert Joel Cashman. Includes game summaries, AFL expert tips and best Back and Lay bets for every round.
BRISBANE VS ST.KILDA
St Kilda have been one of the lowest scoring sides of 2024, ranking 15th in attack with an average of 70 points per game.
Matches involving St Kilda have an average total of 146 points- the lowest of any side in the AFL. Six of their last seven matches have gone under the total.
St Kilda and Brisbane have matched up for low scoring matches in recent years. They have played each other four times in the last two seasons with all four matches going under the total. They have combined for totals of 132, 140, 147 and 135 points.
Betting Strategy
BACK: Total Points Under 162.5pts @ $1.87
Matches involving St Kilda have an average total of 146 points- the lowest of any side in the AFL. Six of their last seven matches have gone under the total.
WESTERN BULLDOGS VS FREMANTLE
Western Bulldogs matches have had a habit of hitting the overs in the last two months, with seven of their last eight matches going over the total and averaging 173.5 points across this time.
The Bulldogs 10 matches going over the total is the highest of any side this season.
Fremantle have been one of the lowest scoring sides this season, however, their last match against a low scoring Melbourne outfit totaled at 190 points- their biggest match score of the season.
The last time these two sides played in Round 7, the points went over the total at Optus Stadium. This matchup is even more likely to go over, being played at Marvel Stadium- where the last five straight games the Bulldogs have played have hit overs.
Betting Strategy
BACK- Total Points Over 167.5 pts @ $1.87
The Bulldogs 10 matches going over the total is the highest of any side this season.
RICHMOND VS HAWTHORN
Both these sides had slow starts to the season, but have improved their forms with differing degrees of success.
Richmond have covered the line as underdogs in their last three starts and broke an eight-game losing streak to defeat the Crows at Adelaide Oval last week.
The Hawk's form has been terrific, winning five of their last six and losing narrowly to Port Adelaide. However, their form at the MCG hasn't been outstanding, with a 1-4 record and their one win coming against the travelling Crows who haven't won at the venue in many years.
Richmond has four wins and a draw in their last five clashes with Hawthorn.
Betting Strategy
BACK- Richmond Line (+13.5 pts) @ $1.87
Richmond has four wins and a draw in their last five clashes with Hawthorn.
ADELAIDE VS SYDNEY
Sydney have solidified themselves as the benchmark of the competition, sitting two wins and 40% higher than the next best side with a game in hand.
The Swans have been on a roll since their shock loss to Richmond, winning eight straight matches and covering the line as favourites in seven straight matches.
Sydney have won their last four matches against Adelaide, with two of these taking place at Adelaide Oval.
Adelaide's home record is a curious case study, dropping off significantly compared to their dominant run in 2023. The Crows sit on two wins, four losses and a draw in their seven matches at Adelaide Oval, including an 8-point loss to Richmond last week.
Betting Strategy
BACK- Sydney Line (-17.5 pts) @ $1.87
Adelaide's home record is a curious case study, dropping off significantly compared to their dominant run in 2023. The Crows sit on two wins, four losses and a draw in their seven matches at Adelaide Oval, including an 8-point loss to Richmond last week.
NORTH MELBOURNE VS COLLINGWOOD
Five of the last six matches involving Collingwood have gone under the total. Their lack of potency in attack with a plethora of injuries could be a factor in their low scoring matches.
North Melbourne matches have been some of the highest scoring this season on average- 180 total match points ranking 2nd in the AFL- however, this has dropped off significantly in recent weeks.
In the last five weeks, North Melbourne matches average just 161 points (not surpassing the current line of 176 points in any match) and going under the total in four matches.
Betting Strategy
BACK- Total Points Under 175.5 pts @ $1.87
In the last five weeks, North Melbourne matches average just 161 points (not surpassing the current line of 176 points in any match) and going under the total in four matches.
GWS VS PORT ADELAIDE
The Giants form has fallen off a cliff after a red hot start to the season, winning just once in their last five matches with losses to Hawthorn and Western Bulldogs- who both sit outside the top-8- as well as Sydney and Essendon- who like Port Adelaide, sit inside the top-4.
GWS haven't handled the burden of being favoured in recent weeks, covering the line as favourites in just one of their last five matches.
Port Adelaide sit nicely in 4th position on the ladder with a game in hand, having won three of their last four starts. They won't be uncomfortable away from home with a 3-1 in interstate matches this season.
The Power also have a decent record against the Giants, winning four of their last five matches against them.
Betting Strategy
LAY- GWS Line (-9.5 pts) @ $1.87
GWS haven't handled the burden of being favoured in recent weeks, covering the line as favourites in just one of their last five matches.
AFL TIPS AND BETTING STRATEGIES
Welcome to Betfair's AFL Tipping page for 2024! You will find AFL previews, betting tips and strategies for the 2024 premiership season from our team of footy experts. With 18 teams in the AFL, 24 rounds this season made up of 207 matches, the team at Betfair is here to help you navigate the season from a betting point of view. We'll be providing our expert picks for every game and once the regular season is over and we are left with 8 finals teams, the tips don't stop there as we've got you covered for the finals series as well.
Each week, we'll be putting out betting advice for every game of the round including best bets for the week, value picks, lay tips and player prop selections. These will range from margin picks, first goal scorers, who to bet at the line and of course who the Betfair team think will win each game. When making their weekly AFL tips, our experts will look at recent form, statistics from throughout the season, historical trends and rely on their developed betting knowledge giving you informed selections backed up by data.
The latest AFL tips will be posted on this page each week as teams get released for the round as the in and outs of each team can dramatically impact who wins a game of football. This is why it's also important to keep an eye out for late changes teams may swing, and adjust your betting strategies accordingly. For example, if a key defender is out, the opposing team's key forward might be due for a big game.
A great feature of Betfair is that you'll be able to put our tips on the Betfair Hub to use on the Betfair Exchange as not only does Betfair provide expert betting content, we are also a betting exchange where punters can bet against each other. You've got a wide range of AFL markets on the exchange which our tips cover including futures markets like the premiership market, top 4, top 8, wooden spoon and much more.
Our tipping content is tailored to the unique features you'll only find on the Betfair Exchange making it the perfect place to action the tips you'll find on this page. Simply click on the blue and pink widgets next to the tips depending on whether you want to back or lay the tip, and you'll be taken straight to the correlating market on the exchange where you can place your bets.
Not only have we got weekly footy tipping content, but Betfair also has a wide range of AFL related betting articles that'll keep you informed throughout the 2024 football calendar which you can find here. So what are you waiting for? Kick your AFL season into gear with premium AFL betting tips thanks to the Betfair Hub. Play your way with Betfair.
