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Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 10) | Worksheet

Sunday, 27th October 2024

10
17:50
(local)

GUANGZHOU HANDICAP

WT: 54kg Type: RST100-80 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF
HKD $2,840,000
1200m TURF
10
17:50
(local)
HKD $2,840,000
1200m

GUANGZHOU HANDICAP

WT: 54kg Type: RST100-80 Fastest Time: 1:08.26 Rewarding Together 30 Nov 2022 RST100-80 SOT:GF

#5 Lucky Encounter is second-up and should prove a major threat after his strong effort first-up when running on late into sixth behind Wunderbar. The fitness gained from that run and a more favourable draw this time suggest he is primed to go close. #1 Copartner Prance returns to his preferred track and distance. While he’s been consistent without winning this season, the drop in grade and a low draw should bring him right into contention. #6 Gorgeous Win continues to perform with credit and looks well-placed again after a solid third last start to Wunderbar. His consistency makes him a strong player. #7 Raging Blizzard, from the John Size stable, returns after a break and makes his Class 2 debut. Although untested at this level, he remains unexposed and could improve further.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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