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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 2) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 23rd October 2024

2
19:45
(local)

SHEK UK SHAN HANDICAP

WT: 48.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:07.48 Super Win Dragon 04 Dec 2022 RST105-80 SOT:G
HKD $875,000
1200m ALL WEATHER
2
19:45
(local)
HKD $875,000
1200m ALL WEATHER

SHEK UK SHAN HANDICAP

WT: 48.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:07.48 Super Win Dragon 04 Dec 2022 RST105-80 SOT:G

#4 High Rise Power is ready to win after his last-start third at this course and distance. Barrier 2 will provide a perfect run in a race with good speed engaged, and the recent stable change to Dennis Yip has sparked improvement. #7 Gallant Goody gets Zac Purton in the saddle from barrier 3. He has been a steady improver since dropping into Class 5 and looks ready to get into the money here. #11 Patch Of Watch is an interesting runner, as he continues to win trials by big margins but is yet to show up on race day. His chances should improve back in distance and with a better-judged ride here. #8 Super Joy can be slow to start, which is why he has placed more than won, but if the pace is on to suit, he will be making a late bid.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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