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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 10) | Worksheet

Sunday, 15th December 2024

10
17:50
(local)

LUKFOOK JEWELLERY DEAR Q HANDICAP

WT: 51.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:32.82 Voyage Bubble 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G
HKD $2,050,000
1600m TURF
10
17:50
(local)
HKD $2,050,000
1600m

LUKFOOK JEWELLERY DEAR Q HANDICAP

WT: 51.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:32.82 Voyage Bubble 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G

#3 Mickley impressed on debut over 1400m, making up significant ground late to finish fourth behind Charming Legend. The step up to the mile second-up looks ideal, and this John Size-trained prospect could emerge as a serious Classic Series contender with a commanding performance. #11 Packing Turbine is of a similar profile, having caught the eye on his local debut but pulling up with blood in the trachea. Freshend, he has looked well in work and at the trials since. #4 Sky Trust put in a strong effort to win his third race last time despite starting from barrier 14. He now benefits from barrier 1, giving him every chance to secure back-to-back victories. #1 Cap Ferrat has been trialling well ahead of his local debut. On the Derby trail, he may make an impact with a strong first-up showing.

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Explanation of Worksheet
RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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