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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 1) | Worksheet

Sunday, 22nd December 2024

1
12:45
(local)

AMARYLLIS HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:32.82 Voyage Bubble 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G
HKD $875,000
1600m TURF
1
12:45
(local)
HKD $875,000
1600m

AMARYLLIS HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:32.82 Voyage Bubble 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G

#2 Special Hedge makes his Class 5 debut and finds favourable conditions. A lack of early speed on paper will allow Zac Purton to dictate tactics effectively. Benno Yung's stable is in fine form, and this five-year-old could add to the stable's winning momentum. #6 Casa Legend benefits from a return to his best distance over the mile, which will enhance his chances of bouncing back to good form. #3 Charmander will need to improve his record over 1600m, as his performances have been stronger over 1400m, but he is appealing on the quick 7-day turnaround with James McDonald aboard. #9 Chilli Baba delivered a no-show last time, but it's a run worth forgiving, as he has been edging closer to another win since dropping into Class 5.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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