3 minute read

We preview tonight’s Conquering Stakes from Launceston.

Feature racing continues at Launceston tonight with the Listed Conquering Stakes (1400m) seeing the majority of the field come through the Newmarket.

While that race was run under handicap conditions, we see a return to weight-for-age here and that sees The Inevitable bringing the highest Timeform ratings by some margin.

Beaten half a length into second in the Newmarket over 1200m, he ran to a Timeform rating of 106 while the winner, Geegees Gemstone, only ran to a rating of 92, owing to the fact The Inevitable carried 7kg more.

They now meet on level weights which makes it very hard to go past the Tassie champ, and the market reflects that, with Ladbrokes putting up $1.80, which actually seems very reasonable.

The Inevitable ran to a Timeform rating of 115 just two starts ago when fourth in the Glasshouse Handicap carrying 60.5kg at Sunshine Coast, and his consistency stands out.

He's run a Timeform rating of 104 or better in 16 of his past 17 starts, and when we look at the historical winning standard for the Conquering Stakes, it's easy to mark him very short.

Since its inception, the Conquering Stakes has taken a winning Timeform rating between 97-106, with The Inevitable running to 103 in his 2021 victory.

Given The Inevitable has run a Timeform rating of 106 or better (the highest Conquering Stakes winner in history) in his past four starts, and in 14 of his past 17, the $1.80 with Ladbrokes seems a fair gamble.

There weren't any excuses for the beaten runners in the Newmarket and with any ounce of luck from an inside gate, The Inevitable should be taking care of these.

Conquering Stakes

Tip: #1 The Inevitable - $1.80 at Ladbrokes