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Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 2) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 27th November 2024

2
19:10
(local)

CRAMOND ISLAND HANDICAP

WT: 53.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 0:55.93 Stoltz 06 Jul 2023 RST100-80 SOT:G
HKD $875,000
1000m TURF
2
19:10
(local)
HKD $875,000
1000m

CRAMOND ISLAND HANDICAP

WT: 53.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 0:55.93 Stoltz 06 Jul 2023 RST100-80 SOT:G

#2 Speedy Fortune has been racing well since joining David Eustace and receives blinkers third-up, following an encouraging trial in the headgear. From his low draw, he looks well-placed to secure a win for the freshman trainer. #1 Modest Gentleman drops back into Class 5 for his third run this preparation and reunites with Jerry Chau, who guided him to his last victory. #7 Circuit Ten has tumbled down the ratings. He’s been edging closer to a win, and if he can utilise barrier 1 early, his chances of breaking through in Hong Kong are much improved. #4 Happy Horse also benefits from a drop back into Class 5, where his two career wins have occurred.

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Explanation of Worksheet
RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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