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Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 5) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 11th December 2024

5
20:45
(local)

THE HONG KONG GOLF CLUB CENTENARY CUP (HANDICAP)

WT: 51.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:47.94 Money Catcher 11 Jan 2023 OPEN SOT:G
HKD $1,170,000
1800m TURF GOOD
5
20:45
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1800m GOOD

THE HONG KONG GOLF CLUB CENTENARY CUP (HANDICAP)

WT: 51.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:47.94 Money Catcher 11 Jan 2023 OPEN SOT:G

#2 Escape Route ticks plenty of boxes as he lines up fourth-up over a proven distance. Since returning to Class 4, he has shown he is capable of bouncing back for a win anytime, particularly from a low draw with James McDonald engaged by John Size. #12 Kingly Demeanor is thriving this preparation and chases a winning hat-trick as he rises in class. His on-pace style should ensure he makes his own luck and will take catching. #9 Me Time, a lightly raced four-year-old, may now progress further after easily breaking his maiden tag in Class 5. #8 Flying Silver, a distance specialist, looks primed third-up following two solid trials between runs and is ready to make an impact.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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