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Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 8) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 11th December 2024

8
22:20
(local)

ALBATROSS HANDICAP

WT: 52kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.82 Howdeepisyourlove 26 Apr 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G
HKD $1,170,000
1200m TURF GOOD
8
22:20
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1200m GOOD

ALBATROSS HANDICAP

WT: 52kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.82 Howdeepisyourlove 26 Apr 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G

#10 Shinkansen has been edging closer to a win this season and gets conditions in his favour here, benefitting from barrier 4 and some gear adjustments. With several key rivals drawn wide, this could be the opportunity he needs to break through. #1 Yee Cheong Spirit is worth following after his straightforward last-start win in similar company. Despite a slightly tougher draw, James McDonald is well-equipped to navigate it. #2 Circuit Duffy is a promising type who impressed with a dominant win on his second career start from barrier 1. While he has trialled well since, barrier 9 could make this outing more challenging. #3 California Deeply looks well-placed from barrier 4 and gets a favourable race set-up. He ran on strongly for fourth last time after jumping from barrier 11 and remains a live chance in this field.

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Explanation of Worksheet
RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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