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Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 10) | Worksheet

Thursday, 26th December 2024

10
22:50
(local)

NEPTUNE HANDICAP

WT: 54kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF
HKD $2,050,000
1650m TURF
10
22:50
(local)
HKD $2,050,000
1650m

NEPTUNE HANDICAP

WT: 54kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF

#4 Romantic Laos benefits from a much lower draw in barrier 3 after a tough trip from barrier 9 last time, where he raced wide without cover yet was only beaten four and a half lengths. His prior run suggested another win was near, and this presents a golden opportunity for him to capitalise on more favourable conditions. #9 Glorious Journey resumed with an unlucky eighth-place finish, beaten only three lengths despite racing wide without cover. A better run in transit should see him bounce back second-up. #5 Soleil Fighter can be followed after his first local win at this course and distance on IJC night, as more improvement is expected. #11 Fortune Superstar remains unplaced locally but has shown steady progress. His last-start fifth over 1800m, beaten less than a length after attempting to lead throughout, was a solid effort.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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