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Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 4) | Worksheet

Thursday, 26th December 2024

4
19:40
(local)

JUPITER HANDICAP

WT: 54kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.82 Howdeepisyourlove 26 Apr 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G
HKD $1,170,000
1200m TURF
4
19:40
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1200m

JUPITER HANDICAP

WT: 54kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.82 Howdeepisyourlove 26 Apr 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G

#9 Telecom Power has gradually acclimatised to racing in Hong Kong and appears ready to break through for his maiden win. After a strong second last time, he followed up with an impressive trial win and now gets the benefit of an ideal draw in barrier 3, in a moderate Class 4 field. #5 Northern Fire Ball looks likely to start favourite after enduring tough wide barriers in his last three starts. From barrier 2 this time, he should relish the inside draw. A close third last time and a solid trial performance since, coupled with Zac Purton remaining in the saddle, add to his appeal. #7 Meepmeep had excuses for his last-start disappointment from a wide gate, racing very wide without cover. His prior third was encouraging, and with barrier 5, he could see a turn in fortune. #4 Excellent Peers has been running consistently without being far away since returning to Class 4. With barrier 1, he has every chance to bounce back into contention.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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