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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 6) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 18th December 2024

6
21:45
(local)

NGAN SHING HANDICAP

WT: 49.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:37.02 Hava Nageela 10 May 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G
HKD $1,170,000
1650m ALL WEATHER
6
21:45
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1650m ALL WEATHER

NGAN SHING HANDICAP

WT: 49.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:37.02 Hava Nageela 10 May 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G

#4 Reliable Profit is in stellar form, chasing a hat-trick of wins, and will be tough to beat despite Hugh Bowman having to navigate another wide draw. #1 Tale Of Perth steps into unknown territory at this distance but could show significant improvement dropping in class after an eye-catching effort over 1200m at this track. If he can capitalise on barrier 1 early, his chances will be enhanced. #7 Jumbo Fortune is just a one-time winner from 45 Hong Kong starts, yet David Eustace has him in fine form this season. James McDonald returns to the saddle after partnering him two starts ago when placed third. #3 Massive Action will take some catching if allowed to dictate the pace up front with Zac Purton taking the reins.

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Explanation of Worksheet
RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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