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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 8) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 18th December 2024

8
22:50
(local)

YUEN CHAU KOK HANDICAP

WT: 47.5kg Type: RST85-60 Fastest Time: 1:37.02 Hava Nageela 10 May 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G
HKD $2,050,000
1650m ALL WEATHER
8
22:50
(local)
HKD $2,050,000
1650m ALL WEATHER

YUEN CHAU KOK HANDICAP

WT: 47.5kg Type: RST85-60 Fastest Time: 1:37.02 Hava Nageela 10 May 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G

#3 Luck Is Back produced an encouraging effort on debut over 1200m, finishing a closing fifth in what was short of his ideal trip. The step up in distance second-up should bring about notable improvement for this Francis Lui-trained Brazilian import. #4 Talents Ambition, trained by Mark Newnham, has been progressing well and is more than capable of securing back-to-back wins after overcoming a wide draw last time with an impressive victory. He faces a similar challenge here. #7 Fighting Machine maps to enjoy a favourable run from an inside draw and, given his consistency, looks ready to break through in this grade when conditions align. #8 Namjong Kingdom had excuses last time when finishing ninth, pulling hard early and encountering interference at the 200m. Forgive that run and anticipate a stronger showing here.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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