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Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 1) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 08th January 2025

1
18:40
(local)

PATERSON HANDICAP

WT: 52kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF
HKD $875,000
1650m TURF GOOD
1
18:40
(local)
HKD $875,000
1650m GOOD

PATERSON HANDICAP

WT: 52kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF

#1 Cervin delivered his first win two starts ago in impressive fashion and was unlucky last start when he drew barrier 14, raced wide without cover from the 900m, and still attacked the line to miss by just a neck. A move to barrier 1 places him well to regain winning form. #10 Podium, a winner three starts ago, has endured tough wide draws in recent outings yet has performed admirably, including a strong late run into fourth last time. Barrier 8 offers him a better chance to feature. #6 Gold Tack ran last in his Class 5 debut but was badly held up in the straight and eased down late. With a clearer passage, he can improve, though barrier 11 presents a challenge. #2 Ivictoriam ran his best race to date on the downgrade last start, finishing third to Cervin, and appears to have found his level in Class 5.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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