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Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 2) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 08th January 2025

2
19:10
(local)

GREAT GEORGE HANDICAP

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.82 Howdeepisyourlove 26 Apr 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G
HKD $1,170,000
1200m TURF GOOD
2
19:10
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1200m GOOD

GREAT GEORGE HANDICAP

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:08.82 Howdeepisyourlove 26 Apr 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G

#12 Fortune Whiskey has turned his form around since joining David Eustace’s stable, overcoming wide draws in his last two starts to finish strongly. His fourth to Super Legends, who won again at Sha Tin on Sunday, is terrific form. Drawing barrier 2 this time, he has a better chance to position closer and maximise his chances. #4 Golden Rise is edging closer to another win after narrowly missing last start. With Zac Purton aboard and blinkers applied for the first time by trainer John Size, he looks well-placed to strike. #2 Street Conqueror impressed with a first-up win for Mark Newnham two starts ago and ran on well from a wide draw when eighth second-up. Back to barrier 1, he should rebound with a strong showing. #11 Affirm has been runner-up in his last two starts and will again adopt his customary front-running role.

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Explanation of Worksheet
RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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