Search

Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 8) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 08th January 2025

8
22:15
(local)

CAUSEWAY HANDICAP

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:08.82 Howdeepisyourlove 26 Apr 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G
HKD $1,860,000
1200m TURF GOOD
8
22:15
(local)
HKD $1,860,000
1200m GOOD

CAUSEWAY HANDICAP

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:08.82 Howdeepisyourlove 26 Apr 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G

#8 Spicy Gold returns to the races following a luckless fifth-place effort under Yuga Kawada in an IJC race over a month ago. He was severely held up inside the final 300m and never had a clear shot, finishing 4.25 lengths behind Aurora Lady, which is strong form, and drawn ideally in barrier 3, he can atone. #3 A Americ Te Specso can be slow out of the gates but is well-suited stepping up to 1200m second-up after closing strongly for fourth over 1000m on his return. #4 Eternal Fortune has been knocking on the door for his first Hong Kong win, having placed in three of his four local starts, all over 1000m. The step up to 1200m now looks like the perfect fit for him to break through. #1 Kyrus Dragon is another with solid Aurora Lady form, and while his ninth-place finish last time may appear modest, he was held up inside the final 100m and had more to offer.

Print
CSV
View Worksheet for ALL Races

Explanation of Worksheet
RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

Chances are you’re about to lose.

For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au