Search

Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 1) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 15th January 2025

1
18:40
(local)

ICE HOUSE HANDICAP

WT: 51kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:48.12 Meaningful Star 31 May 2023 RST100-80 SOT:GF
HKD $875,000
1800m TURF
1
18:40
(local)
HKD $875,000
1800m

ICE HOUSE HANDICAP

WT: 51kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:48.12 Meaningful Star 31 May 2023 RST100-80 SOT:GF

#2 Smashing Express is primed for a breakthrough after two highly encouraging efforts in this class. He’s drawn well in a low barrier, but Hugh Bowman will need to get the gelding to settle closer in what looks to be a race lacking early speed. #12 Red Maverick benefits from a slightly better draw after being ridden quietly from a wide gate last start, where he over-raced. Previously, when mapping closer, he finished a close third and represents a chance at odds. #5 Go Go Go will likely find himself on the pace, and if the tempo is moderate, he’ll be tough to reel in late. #6 Kasa Papa has been knocking on the door with four promising runs in this class. With Zac Purton taking over the reins, he looks ready to capitalise on his encouraging form.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

Chances are you’re about to lose.

For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au