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Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 9) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 15th January 2025

9
22:50
(local)

CONNAUGHT HANDICAP

WT: 52kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:08.82 Howdeepisyourlove 26 Apr 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G
HKD $1,860,000
1200m TURF
9
22:50
(local)
HKD $1,860,000
1200m

CONNAUGHT HANDICAP

WT: 52kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:08.82 Howdeepisyourlove 26 Apr 2023 RST105-80 SOT:G

#1 Aurora Lady continues his upward trajectory as he seeks a hat-trick of wins and his fourth victory this season. The Pierre Ng-trained runner has climbed swiftly through the handicap and is poised to win his way into Class 2. #9 Spicy Gold is a likeable prospect returning on a quick seven-day turnaround after narrowly missing out here last week. Prior to that, he was an unlucky fifth behind Aurora Lady, held up for the final 300m. #11 Flying Fortress is an intriguing contender from barrier 1. Third-up in Hong Kong, he showed early speed first-up at Sha Tin before a closing sixth over this course and distance behind Aurora Lady last time out. #6 Chateauneuf is building towards another win. He started favourite two runs ago in the race won by Aurora Lady but had valid excuses before rebounding strongly to finish second to Storming Dragon at Sha Tin last start.

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Explanation of Worksheet
RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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