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Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 8) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 15th January 2025

8
22:15
(local)

CHATER HANDICAP

WT: 50.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF
HKD $2,050,000
1650m TURF
8
22:15
(local)
HKD $2,050,000
1650m

CHATER HANDICAP

WT: 50.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF

#2 Pray For Mir boasts strong formlines heading into this race, including a win over Voyage Samurai four starts ago. He has since performed commendably, highlighted by a last-start second to Californiatotality after leading the field at a solid tempo. Zac Purton takes the ride, and barrier 3 ensures he maps perfectly. #4 Soleil Fighter broke through for his first Hong Kong win two starts ago and held his form well to finish third last time. From barrier 2, he should again be competitive. #8 Glorious Journey had clear excuses last start when blundering near the 1000m after striking the heels of another runner. He raced wide two runs back but showed promise three starts ago with a close second to Jumbo Legend. #12 Forever Glorious steps into uncharted territory in Class 3 but maps to get a favourable run from his low draw. Carrying a light weight under Dylan Mo, who has been making the most of his recent opportunities, he’s an interesting outsider.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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