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Historical Race Analysis - G1 ATC Sires Produce 1400m

3 minute read

This can be a tough test for the babies and it is no wonder Pierro gave Gai Waterhouse yet another winner in this event in 2012.

Pride Of Dubai came back to win the Sires
Pride Of Dubai came back to win the Sires Picture: RacingandSports
It has been perfectly suited to those tried and true Tulloch Lodge regime. Let’s see who might join the likes of Octagonal, Dance Hero, Tierce, Burst, Luskin Star and Tulloch as winners.

PROFILING THE RACE

o In 21 years, only 4 Slipper winners have done the back-up double but interestingly of the other 17, 8 placegetters at Rosehill have won the Sires - in fact only Viscount and Guelph contested the Slipper, failed to place and won the Sires.

o Wide barriers haven’t hurt, in fact it’s been a blessing.

o Gai Waterhouse has dominated with 7 winners since the turn of the century.

o Normally a real favourites race although heavily backed Overreach couldn’t sustain.

o Last 10 Winners Average Price of winner - $7

o Breakdown of winners - 4 fillies & 6 colts.

o Races that the winner ran in prior - Golden Slipper (4), Reisling Stks (1), Magic Night Stks (2), Baillieu Stks (1), Open 2yo (1), Blue Diamond Stks (1)

RECENT WINNERS

2015 – PRIDE OF DUBAI 2c (Street Cry x Al Anood) ($4.50)

Jockey: Hugh Bowman, Trainer: Peter & Paul Snowden

Barrier: 5, Weight: 56.5kg, Gross Time: 1:25.72

Margin: 0.8L, Track: Slow (7), Starters: 10

D/H 2nd: Odyssey Moon (56.5kg), D/H 2nd: Rageese (56.5kg)

Review: This was not the most conventional program for the Sires. Most runners come through the Slipper. But the Snowdens had done a great job with the Blue Diamond winner back and that was some win. He trialled and it wasn’t the most convincing.

But on the wet track perhaps he had a good prep anyway. He got back in the field but surged through late. Bowman reckoned he was gone at the furlong but ran away from them in the end.

2014 – PEGGY JEAN 2f (Myboycharlie x Lady Of Love) ($3.75)

Jockey: Nash Rawiller, Trainer: Gerald Ryan

Barrier: 4, Weight: 54.5kg, Gross Time: 1:27.61

Margin: 0.5L, Track: Heavy (9), Starters: 11

2nd: Scratch Me Lucky (56.5kg), 3rd: Cornrow (56.5kg)

Review: Gerald Ryan had had a great run with his 2yos in this season. So much so that he’d qualified two in the Kindergarten and four in this Sires plus his best one Rubick was in the paddock after the Blue Diamond.

The fillies had dominated the Slipper with the first seven home. They didn’t have quite the power in the Sires but still got the job done. Peggy Jean went back at the start on the heavy going. Rawiller held her together and she pushed through the field.

While second got up the inside, they came away but the filly did what was required.

Guelph ran over them late
Guelph ran over them late Picture: Racing and Sports
2013 – GUELPH 2f (Exceed And Excel x Camarilla) ($9)

Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy, Trainer: Peter Snowden

Barrier: 13, Weight: 54.5kg, Gross Time: 1:23.22

Margin: 0.8L, Track: Dead, Starters: 13

2nd: Scandiva (54.5kg), 3rd: Overreach (54.5kg)

Review: If there was a slightly unlucky horse in the Slipper it was Guelph and while she wouldn’t have won, she could well have placed. This time she drew 13 and went a long way back.

The Slipper winner Overreach was well supported and led on her ear again. Up the rise she tried the same acceleration but it wasn’t there as Scandiva first challenged her and then Guelph ran over the top.

Exceed And Excel won the second leg of the siring Triple Crown which Darley loved as well. Fillies ran the trifecta for the first time since 1980.

Previous Winners ATC Sires Produce Stakes

Year
Horse
Trainer
Jockey
Weight
Second
Weight
Third
Weight
2015
Pride Of Dubai
P&P Snowden
H Bowman
56.5
Odyssey Moon
56.5
Rageese
56.5
2014
Peggy Jean
G Ryan
N Rawiller
54.5
Scratch Me Lucky
56.5
Cornrow
56.5
2013
Guelph
P Snowden
K McEvoy
54.5
Scandiva
54.5
Overreach
54.5
2012
Pierro
G Waterhouse
N Rawiller
56.5
All Too Hard
56.5
Limes
56.5
2011
Helmet
P Snowden
K McEvoy
56.5
Uate
56.5
Pane In The Glass
54.5
2010
Yosei
S Webb
M Payne
54.5
Skilled
56.5
Hinchinbrook
56.5
2009
Manhattan Rain
G Waterhouse
N Rawiller
56.5
Tickets
56.5
Rostova
54.5
2008
Sebring
G Waterhouse
B Shinn
56.5
Samantha Miss
54.5
Love And Kisses
54.5
2007
Camarilla
J Hawkes
D Beadman
54.5
Meurice
56.5
Sashenka
54.5
2006
Excites
G Walter
Z Purton
56.5
Down The Wicket
56.5
My Middi
56.5


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