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Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 4) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 04th December 2024

4
20:10
(local)

LONGINES INTERNATIONAL JOCKEYS' CHAMPIONSHIP (HANDICAP) - 1ST LEG

WT: 55kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 0:55.93 Stoltz 06 Jul 2023 RST100-80 SOT:G
HKD $1,404,000
1000m TURF
4
20:10
(local)
HKD $1,404,000
1000m

LONGINES INTERNATIONAL JOCKEYS' CHAMPIONSHIP (HANDICAP) - 1ST LEG

WT: 55kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 0:55.93 Stoltz 06 Jul 2023 RST100-80 SOT:G

#10 Parents’ Love broke through for a well-deserved win last start and returns to Class 4 this time. His subsequent impressive trial win indicates that this untapped four-year-old has found his rhythm, suggesting he can continue his progression. #4 Champion Method delivered a dominant victory last time following a significant betting plunge. A repeat of that performance would make him tough to beat once more. #11 Silver Spurs had no luck in the straight when finishing 10th last time but gets a chance to bounce back under James McDonald and a gear tweak. #9 Sight Happy gains the services of Zac Purton and benefits from a better draw after wide barriers hampered his chances in his last two starts. He is poised for improvement.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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