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Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 9) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 04th December 2024

9
22:55
(local)

JAPAN HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST100-80 Fastest Time: 1:47.94 Money Catcher 11 Jan 2023 OPEN SOT:G
HKD $3,120,000
1800m TURF
9
22:55
(local)
HKD $3,120,000
1800m

JAPAN HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST100-80 Fastest Time: 1:47.94 Money Catcher 11 Jan 2023 OPEN SOT:G

#8 Stunning Peach looks set to resume his winning ways on his Derby trail. He put in a bold performance over an unsuitable 1600m first-up, running into fifth despite suffering a late check. The step up to 1800m second-up plays to his strengths, and he can solidify his standing as early Derby favourite. #3 Chill Chibi returned to winning form impressively last time when confidently ridden by Zac Purton. Now with James McDonald taking over from barrier 3, he’s poised to find a handy position early and can go on with it. #6 Karma needs to settle closer in the run to be a serious winning threat. Barrier 6 gives Vincent Ho the option to position him more prominently, which will improve his chances. #10 Red Hare King steps up to 1800m for the first time but is set to enjoy an ideal run from barrier 4 after a strong fourth from a wide draw last time.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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