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Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 5) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 04th December 2024

5
20:40
(local)

LONGINES INTERNATIONAL JOCKEYS' CHAMPIONSHIP (HANDICAP) - 2ND LEG

WT: 54kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF
HKD $1,404,000
1650m TURF
5
20:40
(local)
HKD $1,404,000
1650m

LONGINES INTERNATIONAL JOCKEYS' CHAMPIONSHIP (HANDICAP) - 2ND LEG

WT: 54kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF

#4 Jumbo Fortune is only a one-time winner but has been a model of consistency this season since joining David Eustace's stable. Drawn ideally in barrier 3 for Hugh Bowman and with an abundance of speed on paper, he should get his opportunity to finish over the top in what promises to be a typically competitive Class 4 Happy Valley contest. #6 Prince Alex is worth following after his maiden win, as he encounters similar conditions to last time, now with James McDonald taking the reins. #12 Super Baby is well-drawn in barrier 1 and should enjoy a sweet run for Rachel King, with his last effort excusable due to a tough draw in barrier 12. #3 Viva Chaleur has dropped down the ratings and looks ready to strike soon. His last-start third was promising, and a quiet trial since should have him primed to win under Ryan Moore.

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Explanation of Worksheet
RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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