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Happy Valley Form Guide (Race 7) | Worksheet

Wednesday, 04th December 2024

7
21:40
(local)

LONGINES INTERNATIONAL JOCKEYS' CHAMPIONSHIP (HANDICAP) - 3RD LEG

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF
HKD $2,460,000
1650m TURF
7
21:40
(local)
HKD $2,460,000
1650m

LONGINES INTERNATIONAL JOCKEYS' CHAMPIONSHIP (HANDICAP) - 3RD LEG

WT: 54.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:37.90 Woodfire Bro 10 Jul 2024 RST95-75 SOT:GF

#6 Daring Pursuit is a promising type chasing a hat-trick of wins after an explosive first-up victory 35 days ago. Aiming to maintain his perfect record at Happy Valley (three from three), Ryan Moore is an excellent booking to guide him. #10 Super Unicorn lost on protest last start but is well-positioned to make amends from barrier 1 with Mickael Barzalona aboard. #8 Jumbo Legend is thriving this campaign and cannot be overlooked after a stunning win from barrier 12 last time. Now drawn in barrier 2, with Vincent Ho—his partner for all four career wins—retaining the ride, he is a leading chance. #12 Soleil Fighter was used up early last time and faded late but should enjoy a kinder trip here. Hollie Doyle from barrier 3 can secure an ideal position in a race lacking speed.

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Explanation of Worksheet
RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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