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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 3) | Worksheet

Sunday, 29th December 2024

3
14:00
(local)

BUFFALO HILL HANDICAP

WT: 53.5kg Type: RST100-75 Fastest Time: 1:59.70 Romantic Warrior 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G
HKD $3,120,000
2000m TURF GOOD
3
14:00
(local)
HKD $3,120,000
2000m GOOD

BUFFALO HILL HANDICAP

WT: 53.5kg Type: RST100-75 Fastest Time: 1:59.70 Romantic Warrior 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G

#4 Awesome Fluke faced a tough assignment last time out in the Group 2 Jockey Club Cup, where a wide run and an early move at the 1200m made for a forgettable effort. Dropping to this much easier contest, he has the ability to take up the running and rebound strongly. #9 Bravehearts has been thriving this season under Mark Newnham’s guidance and benefits from a drop in weight as he steps up to Class 2. The rise in distance is key to his chances. #7 Winning Dragon, a course-and-distance winner two starts ago where Awesome Fluke finished third, will appreciate the class drop after being outclassed in the Group 2 Jockey Club Cup. #5 Romantic Thor has trialled impressively since his Hong Kong debut and looks well-suited to the rise in distance.

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Explanation of Worksheet
RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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