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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 8) | Worksheet

Sunday, 29th December 2024

8
16:35
(local)

BUTTERFLY BAY HANDICAP

WT: 49.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 0:55.14 Dream Winner 21 May 2023 RST60-40 SOT:G
HKD $1,860,000
1000m TURF GOOD
8
16:35
(local)
HKD $1,860,000
1000m GOOD

BUTTERFLY BAY HANDICAP

WT: 49.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 0:55.14 Dream Winner 21 May 2023 RST60-40 SOT:G

#11 Cheval Valiant looks well-placed to break his Class 3 maiden, likely dictating the pace on his own terms. Resuming off a trial win in sharp time at Conghua, he appears to be in excellent order. #6 Heroic Master is searching for his first victory in 452 days, but if the race tempo suits, he should get his chance. His runner-up effort to Fast Network two starts back stands out as strong form for this contest. #12 Grand Nova remains untapped and chases back-to-back wins after scoring impressively at the top of Class 4 last time out. #1 Healthy Healthy typically delivers an honest performance from a forward position and can factor in with favourable conditions.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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