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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 4) | Worksheet

Sunday, 29th December 2024

4
14:30
(local)

LUNG FU SHAN HANDICAP

WT: 50kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:20.34 Green N White 09 Nov 2024 RST105-80 SOT:GF
HKD $1,170,000
1400m TURF GOOD
4
14:30
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1400m GOOD

LUNG FU SHAN HANDICAP

WT: 50kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:20.34 Green N White 09 Nov 2024 RST105-80 SOT:GF

#2 Endeared deserves a better winning record, having been one of the unluckiest horses in Hong Kong when it comes to barrier draws. He looks ready to secure another victory after several strong fast-finishing efforts, with Class 4 being his most productive grade. #10 Pearl Of Pang’s has the blinkers applied for the first time and showed marked improvement in a recent trial with the headgear. He looks primed to play a key role in the finish. #7 Great Spirit has yet to prove himself over 1400m but brings solid recent form from 1200m contests, and in a weaker race, he could perform better than his record suggests. #5 Shamus Storm, a newcomer to the David Hayes stable, has impressed in trials and is poised to run well on debut.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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