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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 7) | Worksheet

Sunday, 29th December 2024

7
16:05
(local)

LUNG FU SHAN HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:20.34 Green N White 09 Nov 2024 RST105-80 SOT:GF
HKD $1,170,000
1400m TURF GOOD
7
16:05
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1400m GOOD

LUNG FU SHAN HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:20.34 Green N White 09 Nov 2024 RST105-80 SOT:GF

#1 Ballistic Win finds a prime opportunity to secure another victory against a modest field, with many rivals needing to improve. The addition of a handy 5lb claim under Ellis Wong and his tactical speed further enhance his prospects. #5 Forerunner was given a spell after a disappointing effort as a beaten odds-on favourite, but a return to his prior solid form would make him a strong contender. #3 Panda, though inconsistent, has shown promise, particularly with the Dennis Yip stable in excellent form following a successful night at Happy Valley. His recent third-place finish suggests he is nearing another win. #11 Dragon Four Seas is edging closer to a maiden victory and possesses the tactical versatility to feature prominently in this contest.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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