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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 1) | Worksheet

Sunday, 19th January 2025

1
12:30
(local)

BEAT THE CLOCK HANDICAP

WT: 53kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:07.43 Ka Ying Rising 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G
HKD $1,170,000
1200m TURF
1
12:30
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1200m

BEAT THE CLOCK HANDICAP

WT: 53kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:07.43 Ka Ying Rising 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G

#2 Blazing Wind steps into a more suitable contest after tackling stronger fields in recent starts, where he has been well supported and on the cusp of breaking through for his maiden victory. James McDonald remains in the saddle, drawing ideally in barrier 1, and gets every opportunity to capitalise. #5 Divine Moonlight debuts off the back of sharp barrier trials, displaying notable early speed. Despite the wide draw in barrier 13, Blake Shinn will aim to secure the lead, and the tempo could work in his favour. #11 Meepmeep remains a maiden for the John Size stable but has been performing creditably. He endured a wide run over 1400m two starts back and followed up with a closing seventh over 1200m at Happy Valley after being steadied early. A smoother trip here will see him figure in the finish. #3 I Am The Boss has been racing on-pace in longer contests recently, and while the drop back to 1200m raises some questions, his strong form makes him a contender if he adapts to the sharper trip.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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