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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 3) | Worksheet

Sunday, 19th January 2025

3
13:30
(local)

HELENE PARAGON HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:32.82 Voyage Bubble 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G
HKD $1,170,000
1600m TURF
3
13:30
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1600m

HELENE PARAGON HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:32.82 Voyage Bubble 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G

#1 Flying Luck stands out as the form choice. Having won impressively four starts ago, he hasn’t had much go his way in three subsequent runs, but the switch to jockey Blake Shinn can ensure he gets every chance to go one place better. #4 Matsu Victor has drawn wide, but the long straight run provides James McDonald the opportunity to find a favourable position. His form, which includes a win over Flying Luck two starts ago and a third in their last meeting, holds him in good stead. #2 Ballistic Win steps up to the mile for the first time after a consistent season, having placed third in four of six starts. Barrier 4 ensures a smothered run. #6 Mighty Strength dons blinkers for the first time. While his recent form has been mixed, he has shown ability in six career outings and has been ticking over with two sound trials between starts.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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