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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 11) | Worksheet

Sunday, 19th January 2025

11
17:50
(local)

AEROVELOCITY HANDICAP

WT: 54kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:07.43 Ka Ying Rising 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G
HKD $1,860,000
1200m TURF
11
17:50
(local)
HKD $1,860,000
1200m

AEROVELOCITY HANDICAP

WT: 54kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:07.43 Ka Ying Rising 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G

#14 Meowth pulled off a long-odds win on debut two starts ago, and he backed it up with a narrow second-place finish to Swift Ascend, which is a solid formline here. He’s been kept ticking over with a standard barrier trial between runs and can go one place better. #6 Majestic Express didn’t have much luck from a wide draw last time, but his fourth-place finish was full of merit, making up four and a half lengths on the lead speed inside the 400m, ultimately finishing just 0.75 lengths behind the winner. #8 Halo Of Success has drawn barrier 11 in both of his local starts, but he moves into barrier 2 here, which can improve his luck in the run and ensure a more favourable trip. His last-start fifth, beaten by just one length, suggests he’s heading in the right direction. #3 Invincible Shield is a promising newcomer for the Francis Lui stable. The former Australian galloper arrives on the back of four straight wins and has impressed in his local trials, suggesting he’s primed for a strong debut.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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