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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 10) | Worksheet

Sunday, 19th January 2025

10
17:15
(local)

ABLE FRIEND HANDICAP

WT: 52kg Type: RST95-70 Fastest Time: 1:59.70 Romantic Warrior 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G
HKD $3,120,000
2000m TURF
10
17:15
(local)
HKD $3,120,000
2000m

ABLE FRIEND HANDICAP

WT: 52kg Type: RST95-70 Fastest Time: 1:59.70 Romantic Warrior 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G

#2 Stunning Peach was touted last season as a leading Derby contender. After two luckless runs over the mile at Sha Tin and 1800m at Happy Valley this preparation, where he was unable to show his true ability, he now steps up to what should be his optimal trip—the Derby distance. #5 Bravehearts is thriving since joining the Mark Newnham stable and comes into this race with strong credentials, having won at this course, distance, and grade last start. He is far from finished yet. #6 Romantic Thor is improving with racing in Hong Kong. He placed third behind Bravehearts on his second local start last time and is one of seven four-year-olds in this race seeking to assert Derby claims. Blinkers are applied for the first time, a gear change worth noting. #3 Mickley presents as an intriguing runner on the seven-day back up. Since his first local win three starts ago, he endured a luckless run in the straight before closing into sixth last week. Testing the Derby distance for the first time, this outing will offer clarity on his standing among his peers.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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