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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 1) | Worksheet

Sunday, 12th January 2025

1
13:00
(local)

WU KAI SHA HANDICAP

WT: 49.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:07.79 Adefill 05 Mar 2023 RST85-60 SOT:G
HKD $875,000
1200m ALL WEATHER
1
13:00
(local)
HKD $875,000
1200m ALL WEATHER

WU KAI SHA HANDICAP

WT: 49.5kg Type: RST40-0 Fastest Time: 1:07.79 Adefill 05 Mar 2023 RST85-60 SOT:G

#5 Flying Dragon can prove more competitive on his second attempt in the cellar grade, switching back to his best course and distance where all three of his career wins have come. With plenty of early speed expected, the race shape should suit his style. #6 Fung gets a significant jockey upgrade with Zac Purton taking over from an apprentice. On his first Class 5 outing, he led and gave a good sight before fading late into fourth. With that run under his belt, he’s well-placed to improve. #2 Smart Leader drops back into Class 5, a grade where he boasts a strong record. Reunited with Keagan De Melo, who guided him to victory at this course and distance four starts ago, the 10-year-old can be in the mix. #11 Patch Of Watch had excuses last time, pulling up with blood in the trachea. From barrier 2 and with Brittney Wong’s 10lb claim, he’s well-drawn to improve his form.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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