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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 4) | Worksheet

Sunday, 12th January 2025

4
14:30
(local)

WU KAU TANG HANDICAP

WT: 53kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:07.43 Ka Ying Rising 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G
HKD $1,170,000
1200m TURF
4
14:30
(local)
HKD $1,170,000
1200m

WU KAU TANG HANDICAP

WT: 53kg Type: RST60-40 Fastest Time: 1:07.43 Ka Ying Rising 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G

#8 Invincible Lucky has been knocking on the door for a win, but wide draws have proven costly in both starts of this preparation. Now drawn favourably in barrier 3, his last-start second to Boom Box—an exciting horse on the rise—reads well for this contest. #1 Sunny Da Best was a good thing beaten last time when runner-up to Sky Joy after being badly held up from the 450m to the 200m. With a clear run, he’s primed to bounce back. #6 Flying Double had barrier 13 to contend with last start and was ridden quietly before storming home into sixth, finishing strongly in the same race as Sunny Da Best. A better map is possible, but with barrier 12, he may adopt quiet tactics again. #7 Island Buddy comes out of a fast-run, strong-form race where he only faded late into sixth. His prior second-place effort was full of promise and suggests he’s one to watch.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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