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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 9) | Worksheet

Sunday, 12th January 2025

9
17:10
(local)

PAK SHEK AU HANDICAP

WT: 52kg Type: RST85-60 Fastest Time: 1:32.82 Voyage Bubble 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G
HKD $2,050,000
1600m TURF
9
17:10
(local)
HKD $2,050,000
1600m

PAK SHEK AU HANDICAP

WT: 52kg Type: RST85-60 Fastest Time: 1:32.82 Voyage Bubble 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G

#6 Markwin, a standout from the Cody Mo stable, tackles the mile for the first time. Although beaten as an odds-on favourite last start, his effort had plenty of merit as he got too far back in a race favouring on-pace runners, finishing strongly to miss by just a head. This four-year-old restricted race shapes as a key marker for Classic Mile hopefuls. #1 Mickley had no luck at all last start, finishing 12th but only beaten four lengths after being completely held up in the straight with nowhere to go. A clearer passage here will see him rebound sharply. #5 Steps Ahead has never missed the frame in seven starts and continues to bolster his Classic Mile credentials. Another wide draw poses a challenge, but the long run to the first bend gives Jerry Chau time to find a position. #8 Silvery Breeze surprised with a debut win two starts ago and followed up with an eye-catching fifth, closing strongly from the widest barrier to finish just 1.75 lengths behind Mickley.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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