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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 10) | Worksheet

Sunday, 12th January 2025

10
17:45
(local)

PAK TIN HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:32.82 Voyage Bubble 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G
HKD $2,050,000
1600m TURF
10
17:45
(local)
HKD $2,050,000
1600m

PAK TIN HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:32.82 Voyage Bubble 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G

#11 Glorious Success has made an impressive start in Hong Kong, securing two placings over 1400m, and his most recent third-place finish to Johannes Brahms is a strong formline for a race like this. The wide draw poses a challenge, but the rise to a mile looks well-timed. #6 Packing Turbine, after a fast-finishing sixth from a wide draw over 1200m on debut, settled closer to the pace from an inside draw in his second start, finishing third to Mickley over the mile. His first local win is on the horizon. #14 Embraces has clearly thrived since the switch to Cody Mo, following an easy two-length victory over the extended mile at Happy Valley last time. While this presents a tougher task rising to Class 3, he remains untapped and could have more to offer. #4 Lo Rider passed his Hong Kong debut with a seventh-place finish, beaten less than two lengths after being held up at the top of the straight. He can take another positive step forward here.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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