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Sha Tin Form Guide (Race 8) | Worksheet

Sunday, 12th January 2025

8
16:35
(local)

HEBE HAVEN HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:07.43 Ka Ying Rising 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G
HKD $1,860,000
1200m TURF
8
16:35
(local)
HKD $1,860,000
1200m

HEBE HAVEN HANDICAP

WT: 52.5kg Type: RST80-60 Fastest Time: 1:07.43 Ka Ying Rising 17 Nov 2024 OPEN SOT:G

#6 Masterofmyuniverse can double up despite the rise in grade, having impressed with a sharp turn of foot to break his maiden last start on just his third attempt. This John Size-trained runner is on an upward trajectory with plenty of upside. #12 Great State is still chasing his first Hong Kong win and hasn’t had much luck recently, but his third-place finish to Rubylot four starts ago is solid form for this contest. #4 Lucky Eight has been running well this season despite battling wide draws in his last three starts. A shift to barrier 4 should see him enjoy a much better trip. #1 Young Superstar has the tactical speed to get forward early and he will be suited by the rail being in the C+3 position, which can favour on-pace runners under the right race shape.

Explanation of Worksheet

RFS Number of runs from a spell (NB Spell defined as 62 days)
DLS Number of days since last run
12MTH Twelve month Rating figure (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs)
BRR Run Rating. Best of last three ratings (already adjusted for weight horse handicapped to carry over 50kgs) Click on the icon next to the runner name to see ratings graph coming into the race for that horse.
Form Form bonus or penalty (Default values are those as recommended by Don Scott in The Winning Way based on a ratings profile leading into the race - see BRR icon ). These bonus/penalties can be changed according to each user's preferences.
Cond Condition bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
Cons Consistency bonus/penalty. Default values are Don Scott values based on tables in The Winning Way. User can change.
BP Barrier Position penalties. Default values based on Don Scott Barrier Tables as per The Winning Way.
JOCK Jockey bonus or penalty based on Racing and Sports Jockey ratings
JC Apprentice rider claims can be added in at the discretion of the user. Enter 3 for 3kg claimer etc
FR Final Rating (Summation of BRR/Form/Cond/Cons/BP/JOCK/JC)
ExMarg Theoretical Beaten margin in kgs based on FR calculation
Per Your Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Div Market percentage (%) based on Don Scott Pricing formula and theoretical beaten margin in kilos in ExMarg column
Tick Box Removes horses from your Odds line. Eg if you want only horses in your market within say 5 kilos theoretical margin of your first selection then tick all the runners outside 5kgs and recalculate the odds.
Market Percentage Set your odds market to what ever percentage you desire. Don always used between 80 and 90% percent. Just select the value you require and click save.

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